Serene Investors

Hello Serene Traders,

Today was not a big day so much on the Indexes, however there were trades that were EXCELLENT.  AAPL held tight, C continued to get institutional buying and you can pick up Jan12 LEAPS for about 25% of stock price….very nice for those of you who want long term appreciation and think C has something to offer.  I sold some positions today to get more GOOG, which I will tell you I missed the first part of the move.  I did get in mid day and pulled in a $4K profit…I am holding as I think GOOG is heading to $600 based on market symmetry.

Lets look at GOOG:  Fast Money had some Talking Head on yesterday that said Google is not going to do much else will not go up more and today hit $17 higher….That is why you should not listen to these people they guess and don’t KNOW.   Let the charts tell you.  Take a look at GOOG, it has broken out of its moving averages, created a nice base formation for quite a while and the Weekly looks good as well.  This stock is still a BABY remember as is BIDU and many other great TECH stocks!  This is the time to do your homework, master the great movers and position to win…  I am playing google and putting my money in AAPL, GOOG, LVS, and potentially BIDU and GS.

Google

The market is OVERBOUGHT and could retrace ANY DAY.  Remember however that in trends it can stay overbought for a while.   The Naz is leading the way….Now the hardest thing to do is to buy when you feel you should be selling.  Most want to buy a the low and sell high, but the BIG money is made buying near highs and selling higher.  This is where you must master the MOME stocks.  Learn from them as only ONE can retire you.  Spoke with someone today who bought 70 GOOG calls last week for under $2.00 and put up $11K today A WEEK LATER worth is $138K….that is what I am talking about.  Where were we last week when GOOG double bottomed with 2 dojis on the 2^nd hump?  I am kicking myself, but working on it now.  There are more googles to be born, turn off the TV, stop sitting on the sofa and get to work

Cheers

Vince Dowd

Hello Serene Traders,

INDU UP 11.86

COMPQ UP 8.47

SPX UP 1.46

Well the Serene Path was a good one today.  The market started out DOWN on the anniversary of the 2009 bottom.  We are in a BULL market and the average Bull lasts 4 years and we have 1 under the belt.  Most retail “that is you and me” investors HAVE NOT particated in this profit, therefore they will start to get ichy to get back in driving it more.  We could have some exciting times ahead.

The market sold off a bit at the end of the day, there were many winners today, in the chat room trader’s took positions in AAPL, GS and PAY.  I sold my GMCR, RINO and AMZN due to slow movement and bought more FAST MOVING  AAPL this morning which paid off well today.  CSCO announced a NEW high speed router which will allow you to download the Library of Congress in under 1 second…get ready world for SPEED…LT will be great for Cisco profits…short term I popped a quick $130 on the 10 calls I bought yesterday at close. I want to focus on AAPL today….You MUST stay with the winners and AAPL and GS were winners today as well as LVS.  Lets look at AAPL

WEEKLY FIRST

powered by metastock

powered by Metastock

It is exciting to start to see more people joining us in the chat room, I appreciate your comments and glad you find it valuable!!!!  If you have not joined us, jump in it is FREE.

Lets have a look at some stocks.  I will not cover all of these however will go a bit more in depth on today’s video which you can get by CLICKING HERE.

Today NFLX hit a new high (51M in float, ROE 42%, EPS 5 years over 40%) this stock can move and with streaming may really move up to 100 level.  Keep in mind it will take a bit of time, but I like them as do many people.  It is going strong.

BIDU: (32M float, ROE 37%, EPS 5 year 41%)  I hope this one will SPLIT!!!!

This amazing stock makes me very sad as we could have bought it or LEAPS a year ago when it was in the 120 area.  If you have been to my classes or been mentored by me you know that these are the stocks I look for (missed this one duh!) but this would have retired you in a year with LEAPS.  It has gone up OVER $400 in a year….this is why you need to pay attention daily to the markets. By the way this stock with only 36M in float can go and go and go like the energizer bunny.  It is better to buy 2 shares of this than many of a lot of other stocks.  I have my eye on it.

A few stocks to look at (FSYS, LVS, AKAM, SNDK, C) Many of these have great BUY signals from the RMO on Metastock. I bought some LEAPS on C  today based on the breakout above the 200 dma.  I think C will get up to the $4 plus soon but at this price you could buy stock.  I however would rather pay less so bought leaps.

On another note: I am a PEAK OIL believer…I think the truth is NOT out there on how much oil is left and thus cost will continue to climb. Take advantage and research how to win on this.

Remember : jobless claims on THURSDAY be ready!

See you tomorrow in the chat room at www.sereneinvestor.ning.com

Vince Dowd

Hello Traders

First note is I do have a video of some plays on www.sereneinvestor.ning.com.  So after you look at this check that one out.  I want you to have a look at GS, looking strong and think this one will be a money maker.  AAPL is giving 2nd chances to those who missed first push up.

Trade #1

LVS: This stock is really moving and now out of the triangle.  Has volume push and think this one will run for 2010.  You will note the LEAPS i bought on it, breakeven is just over 20.00 per share and that is in Jan 11.

powered by metastock

Trade #2

GMCR:  I mentioned this one already but i am LONG in calls, this breakout does not look like the fakeouts we saw earlier.  Check the earnings growth as this is in the TOP 7 fundamental companies in IBD.  Technically moving with volume and it is a nice set up.

powered by metastock

Have a great trading day and see you on the CHAT in www.sereneinvestor.ning.com

Vince Dowd

Hello Serene Traders,

Lets have a go at the markets for the coming week.  First i want to bring attention to the SP500 on the Weekly first and then daily. Remember to look first at the BIG picture W and then the micro D and lower if you trade in shorter time frames.

Note the Weekly chart.  We have come from a reverse Head and Shoulder formation and have not retraced the big move down by 50% level.  Take a look at the 200 period MA it is a the 61.8% fibonacci level giving confluence in that there is a lot of resistance there.  I did not draw it on there but if you draw a support line/resis line you will see that is also an area to contend with.  Finally look at the ADX it is sloped down which shows a weakening trend.  Use Caution on this in longs knowing it could be up against trouble.

Chart Analysis

The Daily chart shows a recent head and shoulders reversal and we have broken the neckline, however have resistance at the 1154 level.  The ADX is also going down, however you see a button hook on the end thus it may turn up and head above the 20 level showing a strengthing trend.  Just keep in mind any long should be with caution for the trend can turn.

daily analysis

Now lets look at a few stocks that could be developing as potential momentum stocks.  Remember the BIG money is made with patience and study of what stocks in the past have done and looking for patterns such as those that are NOW occuring.  Google, AOL, Amazon, Dell etc have all had huge runs that could have made you a fortune.  The key is to find these potential new candidates, mark them in watch list, continue searching and look for the new setups and trade with proper risk management.

I scanned the market for stocks that have great ROE, Great EPS, Great Sales Growth and are moving UP.  Here are two of only a few that came up. Keep an eye on them.

1st:  CTRP:  Ctrip.Com International Ltd. The Group’s principal activity is providing travel services for hotel accommodations, airline tickets and packaged tours in the People’s Republic of China. It aggregates information on hotels and flights and enables its customers to make informed and cost-effective hotel and flight bookings. It also sells packaged tours

powered by metastock

2nd GMCR: The Company produces and sells over 200 whole bean and ground coffee selections, cocoa, teas and coffees in K-Cup (r) portion packs, Keurig(r) single-cup brewers and other accessories

powered by metastock

GMCR has 36.8 shares in float 21% short.  There will be short covering on breakout.  Has great products.

Trade Serene and Smart….there is money to be made

Vince Dowd

Hello Traders,

First NOTE: Non Farm Payroll tomorrow 8:30 EST.

As i scanned the market today, 2 stocks stood out to me.  The first one i have spoken about and traded before it is Areopostale (ARO) and it has great earnings and growth, however has not been stellar.  Today however it beat earnings and gapped up above the wedge and it also is due to split 3:2 on March 5th.  3:2 is not best type of split but may give a boost.    Lets look first at the WEEKLY to get an idea of what the LT trend is saying.  Notice the 50% fib retracement and bounce off a pipe bottom.  Heading back up and perhaps wants to take out the old high.

powered by metastock

As for the daily it has a very nice chart with a  breakout from a long base since December. Volume was fantastic and the stock closed close to the top of the range.  Remember stocks that gap will often come back and fill it, when is unknown but if this heads higher tomorrow you have a RMO buy today above today’s high.

powered by metastock

ONE MORE is ASIA which came up on my GREAT earnings and MOME scan.  This is a China play however may do very well, the stock hit a double top in Dec/Jan and then fell hard back to the LT trendline which then bounced off of just days ago.  We have rmo setting up well and a cup formation…may work sideways a bit but a buy comes in above the small wedge in the last 4 days, with tight stop.

powered by metastock

For our video update CLICK HERE and if not a member become one it is FREE.

Happy TRADING!

Vince

Hello Serene Traders,

Today the market did not move much, it is a bit overbought and thus a little work here going sideways will be healthy.  Many cup and handles have been created on stocks recently, perhaps more handle work needs to be done.  I wanted to highlite RINO today as it is nice and has bounced off a double bottom and broke the pivot.  RMO is also turning bullish.  I bought on the breakout today.  I bought stock one.

Enjoy the video and visit us for more videos at our NING website  by CLICKING HERE to see it.

Vince

Hello Serene Traders,

Lets look at the Nasdaq first

Now the S&P500.  We need to see the S& P continue up and really close above the 1126ish level to get back in the range that we had before the late Jan sell off.

The stock of the day a favorite Momentum stock GMCR.  This company makes great coffee machines that use the individual coffee pads, a hot item and selling well.  They were asked to create pads for Smuckers….could be a next leg up mover.  I am using calls in June/July to play this.  Use contingent stops and if you buy stock look at selling calls OTM and buy puts for protection (collar).

Traders, use your risk management and GET RID OF EMOTION…trade with Serenity.

Hello Traders, What A Start To March

Powered By Metastock

March starts with a BANG.  What a nice day in the market and typically last few weeks of Jan and all of Feb is usually not good in the market and that proved to be true as the last 6 weeks were not easy.  Today I noticed a lot of cup and handle formations and there are many stocks set to run well so be ready, use your watchlist and have you risk management in place.

I took long call positions on AMZN and SNDK. Also BRK.B was up past 80 and doing well and LVS is creating a nice Symmetrical triangle in which I purchased leaps a while back.
Lets look at a strong stock today CMI.  This stock has great earnings and the RMO is set up well.  Note the Parabolic Sar which will act as the indicator if it is below the bar it is bullish if above bearish and can be a stop loss area to use as well.  Today we closed at high above resistance of last week.  This could be a breakout. Use care, stops and be SERENE.

CREE looks really good here.  Note the little flag, lets see if it breaks out, nice MACD.  I did not draw this but you can also use the last major high for new support if it comes down further.

Powered By Metastock

Watch for a breakout here from AMZN, it is itching to go up and the buy would come on break of resistance which could happen Wednesday.  Remember to use stops and look for volume to confirm move.

Amzn basing